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Fed Mulls Options for Next Week's Meeting
Aug 05, 4:00PM
Next week, the Open Market Committee (OMC) of the Federal Reserve Bank will hold its monthly meeting. Even without checking futures prices, it’s obvious that the probability of an interest rate hike is nil. [In fact, the odds of a rate hike in November have already converged to 0%]. Why, then, are investors keenly awaiting [...]
Interview with Roland Manarin: "Don't Try to Beat the Market"
Aug 03, 4:56PM
Today, we bring you an interview with Roland Manarin, founder of Manarin Investment Counsel and Manarin-On-Money. Below, he shares his thoughts on risk management and the EU Sovereign Debt Crisis, among other topics. Forex Blog: How would you summarize your general approach to investing? In the management of retirement assets, I subscribe to global diversification using [...]
Japanese Yen: Intervention is Imminent?
Aug 01, 4:27PM
I last mused about the possibility of Japanese Yen intervention in June (Japanese Yen: 90 or 95?): “It seems that anything between 90 and 95 is acceptable, while a drop below 90 is cause for intervention.” Since then, the Japanese Yen has fallen below 86 Yen per Dollar (the USD/JPY pair is now down 7% [...]
Boom Time for Forex
Jul 30, 7:08AM
It has been three years since the Bank of International Settlements’ last report on foreign exchange was released. Since then, analysts could only speculate about how the forex market has evolved and changed. The wait is now over, thanks to a huge data release by the world’s Central Bank, which showed that daily trading volume currently [...]
How About Those Stress Tests…
Jul 27, 3:04PM
What’s the deal with those stress tests? It sounds like the setup for a Jerry Seinfeld joke, and given the way the tests were viewed by the markets, it might as well have been. According to the EU, the tests were a tremendous success. According to investors, the results were irrelevant at best, and patently [...]
Forex Volatility to Remain High
Jul 24, 7:03AM
With the onset of the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis this year, volatility levels in forex (as well as in other financial markets), surged to levels not seen since the height of the credit crisis. While volatility has subsided slightly over the last few months, it still remains above its average for the year, and significantly [...]
Emerging Markets Continue to Shine
Jul 21, 10:54AM
After a slight respite following the culmination of the Eurozone debt crisis, emerging markets financial markets are back to the their former selves, with stocks, bonds, and currencies all performing well. The rally is being driven by two principal factors. First, investors came to the gradual realization that the trend towards [...]
Reflecting on the Chinese Yuan Revaluation
Jul 20, 3:24AM
Today marks the one-month anniversary of China’s decision to remove the Yuan’s peg to the Dollar, and allow it to float. Now that the news has had a chance to wend its way through the financial markets, I think it’s time both to reflect and to forecast. Over the last month, the Chinese RMB has appreciated [...]
Euro Rally: Temporary or Permanent?
Jul 17, 3:28PM
Since the beginning of June, the Euro has rallied by an impressive 8% against the US Dollar, and by comparable margins against other currencies. The question on every one’s minds, of course, is whether this represents a temporary pullback or a permanent correction. The arguments in favor of the former are pretty strong. Namely, EUR/USD bearish [...]
Japanese Yen and the Irony of Debt
Jul 13, 5:15PM
Since my last update in June, the Japanese Yen has continued to creep up. It has risen a solid 5% in the year-to-date against the Dollar, 12% against the Pound, and an earth-shattering 20% against the Euro. It is closing in on a 15-year high of 85 Yen/Dollar, and beyond that, the all-time high of [...]
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