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Risk Aversion Hits Australian Dollar
Jun 13, 3:56PM
These days, I feel like you could take that title and substitute pretty much any currency for the Australian Dollar. Let’s face it- the EU sovereign debt crisis has hit a number of currencies extremely hard, as investors have fled anything and everything risky, in favor of the US Dollar, Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, and [...]
Interview with Claus Vistesen: "The Eurozone is Shaky"
Jun 10, 2:55PM
Today we bring you an interview with hedge fund manager Claus Vistesen, of Alpha.Sources and Beta.Sources. Claus is a Danish economist who specialises in macroeconomics. He is currently pursuing post grad studies alongside his commercial endeavors. His primary research interests include demographics, macroeconomics and international finance. Below, Claus discusses his perspective on the forex markets, [...]
EU Crisis Punishes Korean Won
Jun 08, 7:34AM
The South Korean Won has been one of the biggest losers from the EU sovereign debt crisis. After a stellar 2009, the Won is off to a shaky start in 2010, and has lost 12% of its value in the last month alone. According to analysts, The won is “most sensitive to risk aversion” of [...]
EUR/USD: The Next Benchmark is Parity
Jun 05, 4:40PM
The Euro has now declined for six consecutive months against the Dollar. It is down 25% from its 2008 high and 15% in the year-to-date. It declined 8% in the month of May alone. En route to a four year low, the Euro also fell below the 50% retracement level ($1.21) of its rally from [...]
Japanese Yen: 90 or 95?
Jun 03, 12:39PM
After a healthy appreciation against the Dollar in 2009, the Yen has backed off slightly in 2010, hovering around the level of 90 USD/JPY. Still, every time the Yen falls, traders quickly push it back up to 90. One has to wonder: Will the Yen ever fall? Analysts attribute the Yen’s resilience to a series of [...]
Brazil is Booming, but Real is In Trouble
May 31, 5:26AM
Generally speaking, investors are bullish about Brazil. The emerging market superstar emerged from the credit crisis essentially unscathed, and some believe that "Brazil will be the world's fifth-biggest power by the next decade." This year, the IMF is forecasting GDP growth of 5.5%, while the Central Bank of Brazil is projecting 6%. But this post isn't [...]
Chinese Yuan as Reserve Currency
May 22, 10:47AM
Even before the sovereign debt crisis in Europe damped confidence in the world’s second most important reserve currency, the Chinese Yuan was on the cusp of being accepted as a global reserve currency. We’re all familiar with the arguments attacking the Yuan in this context: its currency is pegged, its capital controls are rigid, and its [...]
Failed Euro Bailout Would Buoy Yen
May 19, 4:50PM
Given that only a week has passed since the bailout of Greece was formally unveiled, it’s still too early to determine whether the plan will be success. Regardless of how it ultimately plays out, though, the bailout (not too mention the concomitant crisis) is shaping up to be THE big market mover of 2009. As [...]
When Will Attention Shift to the Dollar?
May 17, 12:51AM
The fiscal crisis ravaging the Euro and the Pound has sent the Dollar skyward. On the one hand, the prospect of continued uncertainty and dissolution of the Euro would seem to be an excellent harbinger for continued appreciation in the Dollar. On the other hand, it should only be a matter of time before investors [...]
Is There Any Hope for the Pound?
May 14, 3:09PM
Compared to the Euro, the Pound is Gold (figuratively speaking). Compared to everything else, well, the Pound is probably closer to linoleum. Bad geology metaphors notwithstanding, there really isn’t much to get excited about when looking at the Pound. Let’s take the election, for example. Originally billed as a chance for a fresh start, politically, for [...]
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