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Fed Surprises Markets with Scope of QE2
Nov 04, 12:33PM
For the last few months, and especially over the last few weeks, the financial markets have been obsessed with the rumored expansion of the Fed’s Quantitative Easing program (”QE2″). With the prospect of another $1 Trillion in newly minted money hitting the markets, investors presumptively piled into stocks, commodities, and other high-risk assets, and simultaneously [...]
Currency Wars: Will Everyone Please Stop Whining!
Nov 02, 11:52AM
I read a provocative piece the other day by Michael Hudson (”Why the U.S. Has Launched a New Financial World War — and How the Rest of the World Will Fight Back“), in which he argued that the ongoing currency wars are the fault of the US. Below, I’ll explain why he’s both right and [...]
China Diversifies Forex Reserves
Nov 01, 3:04AM
China’s foreign exchange reserves continue to surge. As of September, the total stood at $2.64 Trillion, an all-time high. However, it’s becoming abundantly clear that China is no longer content for Dollar-denominated assets to represent the cornerstone of its reserves. Instead, it has embarked on a campaign to further diversify its reserves, with important implications [...]
Why is the Japanese Yen Still Rising?
Oct 29, 11:12PM
Most of today’s headlines regarding the Japanese Yen focus on one thing: Central Bank intervention. Basically, reporters have become focused on the likelihood of additional intervention in the currency markets by the Bank of Japan. However, this obsession has caused them to overlook the larger issue: Why is the Yen still rising? I was prompted to [...]
Much Ado About Debt
Oct 28, 5:53PM
In addressing the financial/credit/economic crisis, governments around the world have lowered interest rates, bailed-out bankrupt financial insititutions, engaged in wholesale money printing, guaranteed debt, and pumped cash into their economies. However, while such programs may have had some mitigating impact on the crisis, they did little to address the underlying cause. Specifically, debt was merely [...]
Currency War Devalues all Currencies…Except for Gold
Oct 24, 5:17AM
Have you ever heard currency cheerleaders rave about how unique forex is because there is never a bear market? Since all currencies trade relative to each other (when one falls, another must necessarily rise), it couldn’t be possible for the entire market to drop at once, as happens with other financial markets. The ongoing currency [...]
Euro Due for a Correction
Oct 21, 5:53AM
Since touching a four-year low in June, the Euro has risen a whopping 19% against the Dollar – a veritable surge! One has to wonder, however, if perhaps the Euro hasn’t gotten ahead of itself in its race back upward. The Euro’s nonstop rise has perplexed me. During the throes of the Eurozone Sovereign debt crisis, [...]
QE2 Weighs on Dollar
Oct 18, 9:14PM
In a few weeks, the US could overtake China as the world’s biggest currency manipulator. Don’t get me wrong: I’m not predicting that the US will officially enter the global currency war. However, I think that the expansion of the Federal Reserve Bank’s quantitative easing program (dubbed QE2 by investors) will exert the same negative [...]
Betting on China Via Australia
Oct 16, 2:20PM
There are plenty of investors that think betting on China is as close to a sure thing as there could possibly be. The only problem is that investing directly in China’s economic freight train is complicated, opaque, and sometimes impossible. The Chinese government maintains strict capital controls, prohibits foreigners from directly owning certain types of [...]
Emerging Market "Wall of Money" Spurs Currency War
Oct 14, 5:35PM
According to Goldman Sachs (which if nothing else, is good at characterizing financial trends. Remember “BRIC?”), there is a “Wall of Money” that is already flooding emerging markets and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. “The Institute of International Finance projected 2010 capital flows of $825 billion, up from $581 billion in 2009 [...]
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